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CEX trading volume drops 21% in February to $7.2T Centralized exchange (CEX) trading volume fell 21% in February to $7.2 trillion, the lowest since last October, as concerns over U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs dampened investor appetite, according to CoinDesk. Derivatives trading also declined, with Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) seeing its first volume drop in five months. Open interest across all trading pairs on CEXs fell 30% to $78.8 billion, marking the lowest level since November 2024, CoinDesk concluded.

CZ denies WSJ report on pardon request, calls it an attack on Trump and crypto Binance Exchange founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) dismissed a Wall Street Journal report claiming he sought a presidential pardon. On X, he stated he never discussed any

Bitcoin Drops 2% Despite Falling Inflation – What's Next for BTC? Bitcoin's price took a surprising dip of 2%, sliding to around $81,500, despite positive inflation data from the United States. While good news on inflation typically drives risk assets like Bitcoin upward, the crypto market seems to be telling a different story. The shadow of a looming US trade war has left traders cautious, triggering fresh market uncertainty. --- Why Did Bitcoin Drop Despite Positive Inflation Data? On March 13, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in lower than expected, following a similar trend to the previous day's Consumer Price Index (CPI) results. Falling inflation should have been a bullish signal for Bitcoin and other risk assets. However, BTC continued to slide, and the reason is deeper than just the numbers. Trade War Concerns: Analysts suggest that falling inflation gives US policymakers, particularly President Trump, more leeway to intensify trade war tactics, a move that historically adds pressure to financial markets. Market Sentiment: The muted reaction from both crypto and stock markets indicates underlying fears about escalating trade tensions that could dampen future economic growth. --- Is Bitcoin Facing More Downside? Despite positive inflation news, Bitcoin’s price struggled to recover, and several critical resistance levels are proving hard to break. 1. Strong Resistance at $85K: Bitcoin has been rejected multiple times at the $84,000-$85,000 resistance zone. More than $300 million in short positions have piled up in this range, creating a liquidity trap that could trigger liquidations if BTC crosses this level. 2. 200-Day Moving Average (MA): Bitcoin is currently struggling to reclaim the 200-Day MA, a key level that often acts as support during bull markets. Holding below this line keeps Bitcoin vulnerable to further downside. 3. Lack of Liquidity Below $77K: The absence of strong buy-side liquidity below $77,000 increases the risk of a sharp sell-off if the price continues to drop. --- What About the Federal Reserve? Adding to the uncertainty is the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. The market currently sees just a 1% chance of a rate cut in March, while odds for a May rate cut stand at 28%. No Immediate Relief: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated that there would be no rate cuts in the upcoming March FOMC meeting. More Waiting: Traders might have to wait until May or June for any easing, keeping the market in a cautious mood. --- Key Levels to Watch for Bitcoin $85,000 Resistance: Breaking this could trigger liquidations and fuel a move towards $90K-$95K. $77,000 Support: Losing this level could lead to a deeper correction. 200-Day MA: Reclaiming this would be a strong bullish signal. --- What's Next for Traders? 1. Buckle Up for Volatility: The market is clearly jittery, and with trade war tensions in the background, expect increased price swings. 2. Focus on Key Levels: Traders should closely monitor the $85K resistance and the $77K support. 3. Stay Informed: With Fed rate decisions approaching and global trade policies evolving, staying updated is more important than ever. --- Final Thoughts Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. Despite favorable inflation data, macroeconomic fears and geopolitical tensions are weighing heavily on the market. Will BTC reclaim $85K and push towards $95K? Or will the trade war fears send it spiraling downwards? The coming weeks will be pivotal. In volatile markets like this, analysis and timing are everything. Stay sharp, stay cautious, and be prepared for any outcome! $BTC $ETH

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