
Crypto’s Bull Run Heats Up How Long Will It Last ?
Cryptoland’s on fire, with Bitcoin charging and altcoins tagging along for the ride. Prices are pumping, but how long can this bull market last, and when’s the time to cash out?
I’m diving deep into on chain metrics to gauge sell-side risks, unpack how futures amplify Bitcoin’s moves, and share critical lessons for traders at every level to ride this wave without getting smoked.
From long term holder moves to stablecoin flows, this is your guide to navigating the boom and locking in profits.
The market’s buzzing, but on-chain data shows we’re not at a top yet. Bitcoin’s price, charted since early 2022, pairs with the sell-side risk ratio, a metric that spikes when holders are in profit and ready to sell, signaling rally ends.
When it’s low, like now, it’s a buy zone, with momentum turning bullish. We’re far from overheated, suggesting room to run. Most Bitcoin’s supply sits with long-term holders (LTHs), who drive major trends, short-term speculators cause wiggles, but LTHs set the tone.
When LTHs sell, bull runs stall, when they buy, bottoms form. Right now, LTHs are accumulating, not dumping, a green light for upside.
Beginners, this means hold BTC and avoid panic selling dips.
Intermediate traders, track sell-side risk on platforms like Next Move & Glassnode for entry signals. Pros, use low risk ratios to size up long positions, but watch for spikes to exit.
Futures markets are supercharging Bitcoin’s rally, and they’re a must-understand for traders. Perpetual futures let you bet on BTC’s price with leverage, like 10x, controlling big stakes with small margins.
Rising prices liquidate shorts (bets on drops), triggering buybacks that fuel pumps, a cycle that’s pushing BTC now.
Stablecoin dynamics tie in, the stablecoin market cap, at a record $240B, shows fiat pouring into crypto via exchanges and issuers like Tether, supporting long-term price growth.
Short-term swings come from swapping between stables and BTC, tracked by stablecoin dominance, the share of crypto’s market cap in stables. High dominance (9%+) signals fear, low (5%) signals greed. We’re in a range seen in November 2024, and if dominance drops like it did then, BTC could hit $130K-$150K, a 30-50% jump.
Beginners, steer clear of futures, leverage eats newbies. Intermediate traders, check funding rates, positive rates mean long-heavy markets, ripe for pullbacks.
Pros, ride futures longs with 3x leverage, but hedge with stables.
LTH behavior is the backbone of this bull case. Unlike early 2024, when LTHs sold at $70K and $100K, they’re buying now, signaling belief in higher prices.
This mirrors bottoms, not tops, and outweighs Bitcoin ETF flows, which are positive but smaller in impact. LTHs’ patience, dollar-cost averaging through lows, draws in newbies as prices near all-time highs, fueled by media hype. But tops form when short-term holders dominate, and LTHs sell into rallies. We’re not there, supply held by LTHs is rising, not falling.
This cycle, where money flows from impatient “tourists” to patient LTHs, burns newbies who buy highs and sell lows.
Beginners, dollar-cost average BTC weekly to mimic LTHs.
Intermediate traders, monitor LTH supply trends, buy when they accumulate.
Pros, scale into longs now, but prep to trim when LTH selling kicks in, likely above $130K.
Exit signals are where you save or lose your gains, and on-chain metrics are your edge. Watch for LTH selling via metrics like Value Days Destroyed, which spikes when dormant BTC moves, a sell cue.
The Realized HODL Ratio pits short-term speculators against LTHs, high speculation screams exit. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score measures profit relative to volatility, red zones (high profit, low volatility) mark tops, likely at $140K-$150K if we rocket fast. November 2024 highs are a checkpoint, I’d sell 20-30% there, as alts often peak later.
Beginners, set alerts for these on-chain signals. Intermediate traders, use VDD to time exits, sell when LTHs unload. Pros, short futures at MVRV red zones, keeping 20% in USDT for dips. Altcoins could 2x-3x in a
BTC rally, but don’t hold through tops, greed kills.
The broader market shows Bitcoin’s dominance climbing, meaning BTC outpaces most alts long-term.
Altcoin rallies, like DeFi or Politifi tokens, shine when Bitcoin dominance hits 70%, but we’re not there yet, so random altcoin portfolios underperform.
Ethereum’s dominance, near 2019 lows, hints at a DeFi revival, lifting riskier assets if it pumps. Crypto’s safer now, with ETFs and listed firms, but it’s still a player-versus-player game, LTHs win, short-term tourists lose.
Beginners, stick to BTC, learn on-chain basics before alts. Intermediate traders, diversify into stocks or metals, take altcoin profits early.
Pros, bet on ETH for a DeFi pop, but exit when BTC dominance peaks.
Lesson from this is
Discipline beats hype, time entries and exits with data.
I’m bullish on BTC, buying now with LTHs, targeting $130K-$150K, but I’ll sell 30% at $120K, shifting to ETH or DeFi alts if dominance dips.
I’m watching VDD, MVRV, and LTH moves to time exits, no HODLing through tops.
Beginners, dollar-cost average BTC, skip leverage. Intermediate traders, track stablecoin dominance for altcoin cues, sell half at $130K. Pros, use 3x futures longs, short at MVRV red, keep 30% in stables. Got a BTC exit plan or altcoin pick ?
Drop it below, let’s keep the NEXT MOVE crew stacking wins 🫡🎖️
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $ADA $VIRTUAL $VIB $HOUSE $NEIROETH $BROCCOLI $AVAX
Crypto’s Bull Run Heats Up How Long Will It Last ?
Crypto’s Bull Run Heats Up How Long Will It Last ?
Cryptoland’s on fire, with Bitcoin charging and altcoins tagging along for the ride. Prices are pumping, but how long can this bull market last, and when’s the time to cash out?
I’m diving deep into on chain metrics to gauge sell-side risks, unpack how futures amplify Bitcoin’s moves, and share critical lessons for traders at every level to ride this wave without getting smoked.
From long term holder moves to stablecoin flows, this is your guide to navigating the boom and locking in profits.
The market’s buzzing, but on-chain data shows we’re not at a top yet. Bitcoin’s price, charted since early 2022, pairs with the sell-side risk ratio, a metric that spikes when holders are in profit and ready to sell, signaling rally ends.
When it’s low, like now, it’s a buy zone, with momentum turning bullish. We’re far from overheated, suggesting room to run. Most Bitcoin’s supply sits with long-term holders (LTHs), who drive major trends, short-term speculators cause wiggles, but LTHs set the tone.
When LTHs sell, bull runs stall, when they buy, bottoms form. Right now, LTHs are accumulating, not dumping, a green light for upside.
Beginners, this means hold BTC and avoid panic selling dips.
Intermediate traders, track sell-side risk on platforms like Next Move & Glassnode for entry signals. Pros, use low risk ratios to size up long positions, but watch for spikes to exit.
Futures markets are supercharging Bitcoin’s rally, and they’re a must-understand for traders. Perpetual futures let you bet on BTC’s price with leverage, like 10x, controlling big stakes with small margins.
Rising prices liquidate shorts (bets on drops), triggering buybacks that fuel pumps, a cycle that’s pushing BTC now.
Stablecoin dynamics tie in, the stablecoin market cap, at a record $240B, shows fiat pouring into crypto via exchanges and issuers like Tether, supporting long-term price growth.
Short-term swings come from swapping between stables and BTC, tracked by stablecoin dominance, the share of crypto’s market cap in stables. High dominance (9%+) signals fear, low (5%) signals greed. We’re in a range seen in November 2024, and if dominance drops like it did then, BTC could hit $130K-$150K, a 30-50% jump.
Beginners, steer clear of futures, leverage eats newbies. Intermediate traders, check funding rates, positive rates mean long-heavy markets, ripe for pullbacks.
Pros, ride futures longs with 3x leverage, but hedge with stables.
LTH behavior is the backbone of this bull case. Unlike early 2024, when LTHs sold at $70K and $100K, they’re buying now, signaling belief in higher prices.
This mirrors bottoms, not tops, and outweighs Bitcoin ETF flows, which are positive but smaller in impact. LTHs’ patience, dollar-cost averaging through lows, draws in newbies as prices near all-time highs, fueled by media hype. But tops form when short-term holders dominate, and LTHs sell into rallies. We’re not there, supply held by LTHs is rising, not falling.
This cycle, where money flows from impatient “tourists” to patient LTHs, burns newbies who buy highs and sell lows.
Beginners, dollar-cost average BTC weekly to mimic LTHs.
Intermediate traders, monitor LTH supply trends, buy when they accumulate.
Pros, scale into longs now, but prep to trim when LTH selling kicks in, likely above $130K.
Exit signals are where you save or lose your gains, and on-chain metrics are your edge. Watch for LTH selling via metrics like Value Days Destroyed, which spikes when dormant BTC moves, a sell cue.
The Realized HODL Ratio pits short-term speculators against LTHs, high speculation screams exit. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score measures profit relative to volatility, red zones (high profit, low volatility) mark tops, likely at $140K-$150K if we rocket fast. November 2024 highs are a checkpoint, I’d sell 20-30% there, as alts often peak later.
Beginners, set alerts for these on-chain signals. Intermediate traders, use VDD to time exits, sell when LTHs unload. Pros, short futures at MVRV red zones, keeping 20% in USDT for dips. Altcoins could 2x-3x in a
BTC rally, but don’t hold through tops, greed kills.
The broader market shows Bitcoin’s dominance climbing, meaning BTC outpaces most alts long-term.
Altcoin rallies, like DeFi or Politifi tokens, shine when Bitcoin dominance hits 70%, but we’re not there yet, so random altcoin portfolios underperform.
Ethereum’s dominance, near 2019 lows, hints at a DeFi revival, lifting riskier assets if it pumps. Crypto’s safer now, with ETFs and listed firms, but it’s still a player-versus-player game, LTHs win, short-term tourists lose.
Beginners, stick to BTC, learn on-chain basics before alts. Intermediate traders, diversify into stocks or metals, take altcoin profits early.
Pros, bet on ETH for a DeFi pop, but exit when BTC dominance peaks.
Lesson from this is
Discipline beats hype, time entries and exits with data.
I’m bullish on BTC, buying now with LTHs, targeting $130K-$150K, but I’ll sell 30% at $120K, shifting to ETH or DeFi alts if dominance dips.
I’m watching VDD, MVRV, and LTH moves to time exits, no HODLing through tops.
Beginners, dollar-cost average BTC, skip leverage. Intermediate traders, track stablecoin dominance for altcoin cues, sell half at $130K. Pros, use 3x futures longs, short at MVRV red, keep 30% in stables. Got a BTC exit plan or altcoin pick ?
Drop it below, let’s keep the NEXT MOVE crew stacking wins 🫡🎖️
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $ADA $VIRTUAL $VIB $HOUSE $NEIROETH $BROCCOLI $AVAX
Crypto’s Bull Run Heats Up How Long Will It Last ?
Crypto’s Bull Run Heats Up How Long Will It Last ?
Cryptoland’s on fire, with Bitcoin charging and altcoins tagging along for the ride. Prices are pumping, but how long can this bull market last, and when’s the time to cash out?
I’m diving deep into on chain metrics to gauge sell-side risks, unpack how futures amplify Bitcoin’s moves, and share critical lessons for traders at every level to ride this wave without getting smoked.
From long term holder moves to stablecoin flows, this is your guide to navigating the boom and locking in profits.
The market’s buzzing, but on-chain data shows we’re not at a top yet. Bitcoin’s price, charted since early 2022, pairs with the sell-side risk ratio, a metric that spikes when holders are in profit and ready to sell, signaling rally ends.
When it’s low, like now, it’s a buy zone, with momentum turning bullish. We’re far from overheated, suggesting room to run. Most Bitcoin’s supply sits with long-term holders (LTHs), who drive major trends, short-term speculators cause wiggles, but LTHs set the tone.
When LTHs sell, bull runs stall, when they buy, bottoms form. Right now, LTHs are accumulating, not dumping, a green light for upside.
Beginners, this means hold BTC and avoid panic selling dips.
Intermediate traders, track sell-side risk on platforms like Next Move & Glassnode for entry signals. Pros, use low risk ratios to size up long positions, but watch for spikes to exit.
Futures markets are supercharging Bitcoin’s rally, and they’re a must-understand for traders. Perpetual futures let you bet on BTC’s price with leverage, like 10x, controlling big stakes with small margins.
Rising prices liquidate shorts (bets on drops), triggering buybacks that fuel pumps, a cycle that’s pushing BTC now.
Stablecoin dynamics tie in, the stablecoin market cap, at a record $240B, shows fiat pouring into crypto via exchanges and issuers like Tether, supporting long-term price growth.
Short-term swings come from swapping between stables and BTC, tracked by stablecoin dominance, the share of crypto’s market cap in stables. High dominance (9%+) signals fear, low (5%) signals greed. We’re in a range seen in November 2024, and if dominance drops like it did then, BTC could hit $130K-$150K, a 30-50% jump.
Beginners, steer clear of futures, leverage eats newbies. Intermediate traders, check funding rates, positive rates mean long-heavy markets, ripe for pullbacks.
Pros, ride futures longs with 3x leverage, but hedge with stables.
LTH behavior is the backbone of this bull case. Unlike early 2024, when LTHs sold at $70K and $100K, they’re buying now, signaling belief in higher prices.
This mirrors bottoms, not tops, and outweighs Bitcoin ETF flows, which are positive but smaller in impact. LTHs’ patience, dollar-cost averaging through lows, draws in newbies as prices near all-time highs, fueled by media hype. But tops form when short-term holders dominate, and LTHs sell into rallies. We’re not there, supply held by LTHs is rising, not falling.
This cycle, where money flows from impatient “tourists” to patient LTHs, burns newbies who buy highs and sell lows.
Beginners, dollar-cost average BTC weekly to mimic LTHs.
Intermediate traders, monitor LTH supply trends, buy when they accumulate.
Pros, scale into longs now, but prep to trim when LTH selling kicks in, likely above $130K.
Exit signals are where you save or lose your gains, and on-chain metrics are your edge. Watch for LTH selling via metrics like Value Days Destroyed, which spikes when dormant BTC moves, a sell cue.
The Realized HODL Ratio pits short-term speculators against LTHs, high speculation screams exit. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score measures profit relative to volatility, red zones (high profit, low volatility) mark tops, likely at $140K-$150K if we rocket fast. November 2024 highs are a checkpoint, I’d sell 20-30% there, as alts often peak later.
Beginners, set alerts for these on-chain signals. Intermediate traders, use VDD to time exits, sell when LTHs unload. Pros, short futures at MVRV red zones, keeping 20% in USDT for dips. Altcoins could 2x-3x in a
BTC rally, but don’t hold through tops, greed kills.
The broader market shows Bitcoin’s dominance climbing, meaning BTC outpaces most alts long-term.
Altcoin rallies, like DeFi or Politifi tokens, shine when Bitcoin dominance hits 70%, but we’re not there yet, so random altcoin portfolios underperform.
Ethereum’s dominance, near 2019 lows, hints at a DeFi revival, lifting riskier assets if it pumps. Crypto’s safer now, with ETFs and listed firms, but it’s still a player-versus-player game, LTHs win, short-term tourists lose.
Beginners, stick to BTC, learn on-chain basics before alts. Intermediate traders, diversify into stocks or metals, take altcoin profits early.
Pros, bet on ETH for a DeFi pop, but exit when BTC dominance peaks.
Lesson from this is
Discipline beats hype, time entries and exits with data.
I’m bullish on BTC, buying now with LTHs, targeting $130K-$150K, but I’ll sell 30% at $120K, shifting to ETH or DeFi alts if dominance dips.
I’m watching VDD, MVRV, and LTH moves to time exits, no HODLing through tops.
Beginners, dollar-cost average BTC, skip leverage. Intermediate traders, track stablecoin dominance for altcoin cues, sell half at $130K. Pros, use 3x futures longs, short at MVRV red, keep 30% in stables. Got a BTC exit plan or altcoin pick ?
Drop it below, let’s keep the NEXT MOVE crew stacking wins 🫡🎖️
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $ADA $VIRTUAL $VIB $HOUSE $NEIROETH $BROCCOLI $AVAX