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China is set to reveal its economic targets for 2025, following the rising economic uncertainty supposedly caused by trade war threats from US President Donald Trump. The annual meeting of the National People’s Congress (NPC) will begin on March 5 in Beijing, where Premier Li Qiang will deliver the Government Work Report. According to a Tuesday Bloomberg update, the closely watched document will list the Asian country’s economic goals, including targets for GDP growth, inflation, employment, and the fiscal deficit. Economists expect the Chinese government to focus on strengthening domestic demand, expanding social support measures, and ensuring stability in the labor market. Yet, Beijing’s economic roadmap may soon be overshadowed by a wave of US trade sanctions, with multiple investigations into China’s trade practices set to reach Trump’s desk on April 1. Beijing economic goals predictions for 2025 China’s inflation data, which came out before the NPC meeting, shows that the consumer price index rose from 0.1% in Dec to 0.5% in Jan 2025. This was higher than the 0.4% that the market had expected. Food prices, which had been in decline at the end of 2024, rebounded in January, with pork prices rising 13.8% year-over-year and fresh vegetables seeing a 2.4% increase. Increases in healthcare, education, and housing costs caused non-food commodities to rise. China’s economic policymakers are expected to set a GDP growth target of around 5%, though some analysts anticipate a range of 4.5% to 5%. Inflation targets are also likely to be revised, with economists from Citigroup predicting that the consumer price index (CPI) goal will be lowered from 3% to 2%. Fiscal policy is forecasted to take a more expansionary approach, with HSBC economists forecasting a broad-based fiscal deficit of 9.1% of GDP, an increase that exudes a more aggressive stimulus plan. In the labor market, the government is expected to set a goal of at least 12 million new urban jobs, aligning with the number of college graduates entering the workforce this year. Spending priorities will likely focus on domestic consumption and industrial upgrades. UBS analysts anticipate an expanded trade-in program for consumer goods, increased corporate investment in equipment, and large-scale infrastructure projects. Beijing could consider providing capital injections for banks to facilitate debt restructuring for local government financing vehicles and offering subsidies to families with young children. In turn, pensions for retirees may also see an increase. Per sources familiar with the matter, cited by Bloomberg, these economic targets and policies have been formulated behind closed doors over several months and are largely insulated from external pressures. They will be tested by the potential escalation of US trade tensions in the weeks following the NPC meeting. US trade tensions loom over policy plans China’s policymakers are indeed seeking to stabilize economic growth, but they must also contend with the threat of President Trump’s sanctions. The Trump administration is reportedly working on new trade restrictions to limit China’s technological advancements. The US government wants to introduce tougher semiconductor export controls and efforts to push key US allies, such as Japan and the Netherlands, to tighten restrictions on China’s access to advanced chip-making technology. Recent meetings between Trump officials and their Japanese and Dutch counterparts have explored ways to restrict engineers from Tokyo Electron Ltd. and ASML Holding NV from servicing semiconductor manufacturing equipment in China. The discussions suggest Washington is headstrong on restricting Beijing’s ability to develop its chip industry, efforts that began under the Biden administration. US officials could also consider adding new sanctions on several types of Nvidia chips that can be exported to China without a license. There are also early-stage talks about imposing stricter limits on the number of AI chips that can be shipped globally without the American government’s approval. Cryptopolitan Academy: Coming Soon - A New Way to Earn Passive Income with DeFi in 2025. Learn More

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China’s retail sales and industrial data miss expectations in August PUBLISHED FRI, SEP 13 202410:00 PM EDT UPDATED 3 HOURS AGO KEY POINTS Retail sales rose by 2.1% in August from a year ago, missing expectations of 2.5% growth among economists polled by Reuters. That was also slower than the 2.7% increase in July. Industrial production rose by 4.5% in August from a year ago, lagging the 4.8% growth forecast by Reuters. That also marked a slowdown from a 5.1% rise in July. Fixed asset investment rose by 3.4% for the January to August period, slower than the forecast of 3.5% growth. Customers buy pork at a shopping mall in Hangzhou, China, on September 9, 2024. On the same day, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in August 2024, the national consumer price rises by 0.6% year-on-year. (Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Pictured here is a shopping mall in Hangzhou, China, on Sept. 9, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images BEIJING — China’s retail sales, industrial production and urban investment in August all grew slower than expected, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Saturday. Retail sales rose by 2.1% in August from a year ago, missing expectations of 2.5% growth among economists polled by Reuters. That was also slower than the 2.7% increase in July. Online sales of physical goods rose by just under 1% in August from a year ago, according to CNBC calculations of official data. Industrial production rose by 4.5% in August from a year ago, lagging the 4.8% growth forecast by Reuters. That also marked a slowdown from a 5.1% rise in July. Despite the miss, industrial production still grew faster than retail sales, “reflecting the structural imbalance imbedded in China’s economy, with stronger supply and weaker demand,” said Darius Tang, associate director, corporates, at Fitch Bohua. The firm expects the Chinese government will likely announce more, gradual stimulus in the fourth quarter to support consumption and real estate, Tang said. China policymakers' key challenge is presenting measures in a 'coordinated' way: China’s challenge is to present measures in coordinated way: Strategist Fixed asset investment rose by 3.4% for the January to August period, slower than the forecast of 3.5% growth. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in July. Among fixed asset investment, infrastructure and manufacturing slowed in growth on a year-to-date basis in August, compared to July. Investment in real estate fell by 10.2% for the year through August, the same pace of decline as of July. National Bureau of Statistics spokesperson Liu Aihua attributed the uptick in unemployment to the impact of graduation season. But she said that stabilizing employment requires more work. This year, the statistics bureau has been releasing the unemployment rate for people ages 16 to 24 who aren’t in school a few days after the wider jobless release. The youth unemployment rate in July was 17.1%. “We should be aware that the adverse impacts arising from the changes in the external environment are increasing,” the bureau said in an English-language statement. A “sustained economic recovery is still confronted with multiple difficulties and challenges.” This weekend, Saturday is a working day in China in exchange for a holiday on Monday. The country is set to celebrate the Mid-Autumn Festival, also known as the Mooncake Festival, from Sunday to Tuesday. The next and final major public holiday in China this year falls in early October. BofA: China’s role as the key growth driver for oil demand is ‘dying out’ Growth in the world’s second-largest economy has slowed after a disappointing recovery from Covid-19 lockdowns. Policymakers have yet to announce large-scale stimulus, while acknowledging that domestic demand is insufficient. Other data released in the last week has underscored persistent weakness in consumption. Imports rose by just 0.5% in August from a year ago, customs data showed, missing expectations. Exports rose by 8.7%, beating expectations. Beijing’s consumer price index for August also disappointed analysts’ expectations with an increase of 0.6% from a year ago.

CHINA ECONOMY China’s retail sales and industrial data miss expectations in August PUBLISHED FRI, SEP 13 202410:00 PM EDT UPDATED 3 HOURS AGO KEY POINTS Retail sales rose by 2.1% in August from a year ago, missing expectations of 2.5% growth among economists polled by Reuters. That was also slower than the 2.7% increase in July. Industrial production rose by 4.5% in August from a year ago, lagging the 4.8% growth forecast by Reuters. That also marked a slowdown from a 5.1% rise in July. Fixed asset investment rose by 3.4% for the January to August period, slower than the forecast of 3.5% growth. Customers buy pork at a shopping mall in Hangzhou, China, on September 9, 2024. On the same day, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in August 2024, the national consumer price rises by 0.6% year-on-year. (Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Pictured here is a shopping mall in Hangzhou, China, on Sept. 9, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images BEIJING — China’s retail sales, industrial production and urban investment in August all grew slower than expected, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Saturday. Retail sales rose by 2.1% in August from a year ago, missing expectations of 2.5% growth among economists polled by Reuters. That was also slower than the 2.7% increase in July. Online sales of physical goods rose by just under 1% in August from a year ago, according to CNBC calculations of official data. Industrial production rose by 4.5% in August from a year ago, lagging the 4.8% growth forecast by Reuters. That also marked a slowdown from a 5.1% rise in July. Despite the miss, industrial production still grew faster than retail sales, “reflecting the structural imbalance imbedded in China’s economy, with stronger supply and weaker demand,” said Darius Tang, associate director, corporates, at Fitch Bohua. The firm expects the Chinese government will likely announce more, gradual stimulus in the fourth quarter to support consumption and real estate, Tang said. China policymakers' key challenge is presenting measures in a 'coordinated' way: China’s challenge is to present measures in coordinated way: Strategist Fixed asset investment rose by 3.4% for the January to August period, slower than the forecast of 3.5% growth. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in July. Among fixed asset investment, infrastructure and manufacturing slowed in growth on a year-to-date basis in August, compared to July. Investment in real estate fell by 10.2% for the year through August, the same pace of decline as of July. National Bureau of Statistics spokesperson Liu Aihua attributed the uptick in unemployment to the impact of graduation season. But she said that stabilizing employment requires more work. This year, the statistics bureau has been releasing the unemployment rate for people ages 16 to 24 who aren’t in school a few days after the wider jobless release. The youth unemployment rate in July was 17.1%. “We should be aware that the adverse impacts arising from the changes in the external environment are increasing,” the bureau said in an English-language statement. A “sustained economic recovery is still confronted with multiple difficulties and challenges.” This weekend, Saturday is a working day in China in exchange for a holiday on Monday. The country is set to celebrate the Mid-Autumn Festival, also known as the Mooncake Festival, from Sunday to Tuesday. The next and final major public holiday in China this year falls in early October. BofA: China’s role as the key growth driver for oil demand is ‘dying out’ Growth in the world’s second-largest economy has slowed after a disappointing recovery from Covid-19 lockdowns. Policymakers have yet to announce large-scale stimulus, while acknowledging that domestic demand is insufficient. Other data released in the last week has underscored persistent weakness in consumption. Imports rose by just 0.5% in August from a year ago, customs data showed, missing expectations. Exports rose by 8.7%, beating expectations. Beijing’s consumer price index for August also disappointed analysts’ expectations with an increase of 0.6% from a year ago.

Dogecoin, PEPE, and Shiba Inu dominate the meme token economy, with DOGE leading the way in social media interactions. Recent data from Phoenix Group and LunarCRUSH shows that Dogecoin generates 9.2 million interactions in just 24 hours. This high engagement underscores the strong community support and its continued influence on the evolving cryptocurrency landscape. Dogecoin's strong social media presence Dogecoin remains a powerful force in the meme coin market. There were 22.9k active posts in the past day. This activity reflects the strong community support and Dogecoin's relevance in the market. Posts include likes, comments, and reposts that demonstrate Dogecoin's continued dominance. Moreover, Dogecoin's social activity is also impacting market performance. On Monday, the token rose more than 8% thanks to positive investor sentiment. The potential for further growth exists, depending on whether it completes a key move within the falling wedge pattern that traders are closely watching. Pepe and Shiba Inu growth While Dogecoin is leading the way, PEPE and Shiba Inu are also making significant gains. PEPE has recorded 16.1k active posts and 5 million interactions, positioning itself as a strong competitor. The token's popularity is aided by its integration with gaming and social platforms, helping it maintain a strong presence in the market. Dogecoin, PEPE and Shiba Inu lead the meme coin market in terms of social activity, with DOGE topping the charts with 9.2 million interactions. Shiba Inu is also showing a serious challenge with 10,000 engaged posts and 1.5 million interactions. Despite being relatively new, Shiba Inu's loyal community is fueling its growth. This strong support helps Shiba Inu maintain its influence in the meme coin space, making it a key player alongside Dogecoin and PEPE. DegenTokenBase improves user interaction In related news, DegenTokenBase has launched an updated blockchain expedition to improve transaction tracking. This feature helps users track transactions faster and more efficiently. The DegenTokenBase team says that explorer allows tracking “faster than you can say banana zone.” This update is expected to improve interaction with the system. Other emerging memes such as PORK and POPCAT are also attracting attention. PORK has registered 7.3k active posts and 1.7 million interactions, indicating its growing popularity. POPCAT also showed high activity with 6.2k active posts, indicating a growing interest in new meme coins. These developments show that the meme coin market remains vibrant and competitive.