Overview of important developments on the evening of November 5
12:00-21:00 Keywords: election, ETH/BTC, Polymarket, Trump
1. The landing schedule of the past 7 US presidential elections shows that results were announced on the night of 3-4 times;
2. Pre-election "closing" polls show that Harris leads Trump by 4 percentage points;
3. US election prediction agency: the Democratic Party will win the House of Representatives with a one-vote advantage;
4. QCP Capital: Bitcoin's volatility on election night is expected to be about 3.5%, and the market may underestimate the risks after the election;
5. Trump's media technology group (DJT.O) rose more than 8% before the market opened;
6. The probability of Trump winning on Polymarket has risen to 61.5%;
7. Musk: Trump will win Pennsylvania by about 500,000 votes.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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