Greeks.live: Bitcoin Major Duration IVs Currently at Moderate Levels, Bitfinex Rate Market Relatively Flat Lately

On October 20, Greeks.live macro analyst Adam pointed out in a post on the X platform that this week's Fed officials' voices are obviously reduced, and the IMF-World Bank annual meeting is also worth knowing, but the market's expectations for the next interest rate cut have been more unified, and the impact of this information on the market is limited.

The U.S. election is gradually approaching, Polymarket currently shows that Trump's support rate is as high as 60%, according to the current progress, the next only ten days Harris's chances of winning will become smaller and smaller. But the election is still highly uncertain, and the IV of the election cycle rights is still relatively firm. The crypto market crept back near $70,000 in October and has failed to hit new highs several times this year, and it is not clear if this round of the U.S. election could be an opportunity for a breakout. Bitcoin's primary term IV is currently in the middle of the pack, with IV stabilizing at 55% around the election. As for the crypto rate market, the Bitfinex rate market has been relatively flat lately, with occasional high-interest orders at 20%.