The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7%.
According to based on the "Fed Watch" of CME, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 10.3%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged until September is 32.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate cut is 61.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point interest rate cut is 6.6%.
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